analysts

Smalltalk Powers Forward

October 9, 2008 18:47:20.854

Mark Driver at Gartner:

So Yeah.. I said it. Smalltalk is making a comeback.
(pausing to wait for reader to regain consciousness)
There are few reasons for this but a couple come immediately to mind

Follow the link to get his reasons. We've had some very productive conversations with Gartner recently, including Mark. It's nice to see Smalltalk getting "street cred" again :)

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Sun and the Analysts

February 14, 2008 6:58:11.300

This is kind of telling:

Last week, we held a conference for leading financial and industry analysts from around the world. My keynote presentation is below ed - follow the link for the video] - broken into two parts for ease of viewing. One analyst remarked, "but this is pretty much what you said last year."

I wonder whether Schwartz was ever asked the kind of question I would have asked: "What possessed you to spend $1B USD on an open source database with $60M in annual revenues?" That's a billion that could have been used- to pull a quote from his speech - "to build innovations that customers want". Maybe one of the analysts that was actually paying attention could have noticed that innoDB - the primary engine used by MySQL - is owned by Oracle. Yeah, no risk to the investment there....

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Cliche Based Analysis

June 10, 2007 11:31:32.662

Those bright guys at Gartner are back with more conventional wisdom based analysis - this month, it's the death of the traditional workplace. Hey - they only lag the weekly news rags on this by a decade or two:

Gartner argues that three of the four traditional pillars of work -- the living wage, long-term relationships with loyal employers, and government- or company-provided pensions -- have already gone the way of the dinosaurs, leaving only the 40-hour workweek.

Here's what I'd like to know - when was the "golden age" when people had it so good? This kind of analysis usually ends up pointing at the 1950's and 1960's, which were economically good times for the US - you have to bear in mind that much of the rest of the world we compete with now was still recovering from the utter destruction of WWII though.

I wonder if they would select the 1930's as a golden age? Or the 1870's? Analysis is so easy when you don't know a thing about history.

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Gartner: Wrong Again

May 30, 2007 14:40:40.819

It's refreshing to see that the software industry isn't the only place where Gartner has no clue - listen to them on the Wii:

The newly published article cites Van Baker of analyst firm Gartner suggesting of the Wii: "Its appeal is primarily to casual gamers, and there's a serious question about how long casual gamers will stay engaged with the platform... It wouldn't be surprising to see them lose interest after a relatively short amount of time."

I suspect that Baker has never used a Wii, or attended a party where one is around. The Wii gets everyone engaged - serious game players and casual audiences. The Xbox and PS3 pretty much hit one demographic: the hard core.

The last time I looked, the hard core gaming crowd wasn't as big as the casual one, but hey - that's a complicated thing for a Gartner guy to wrap his head around - he might have to engage with the real world, or something.

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Smalltalk Daily: 2/8/07 - Profiling Multiple Processes

February 8, 2007 9:34:39.829

In today's Smalltalk Daily, we take a look at the Multi-Time Profiler - which lets you profile all running processes in the system for a period of time. It's a great way to find out what your code is doing when it works off multiple processes.

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DRM is bad for the Enterprise, too

January 5, 2007 7:54:31.594

James Governor makes another excellent observation:

What are the implications for the enterprise? If you think you can succesfully run your business as a top down fiefdom, a command and control structure, then by all means encumber all your documents and files with DRM. But if you want to enable your employees to innovate then a little more freedom might not be such a bad thing. That’s the thing with command and control - its inefficient and so bound to fail in the long run.

Outfits that don't trust their employees to do the right thing are just going to have problems. Better to trust and weed out the bad apples than to treat everyone like a suspect.

For those of you who want to bring up various regulations surrounding various businesses - bear in mind that the classification scheme used for documents by the US government has managed to get by without DRM for years.

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Vista Requirements: Large

January 3, 2007 11:19:38.044

James Governor cuts through the fog surrounding the "free evaluation laptop" issue, and gets at the real problem - which is something I really wish I had thought to notice:

Check out the specs… “an AMD Turion 64 X2 dual-core 2ghz CPU, 2GB of DDR2-667 RAM, AMD-ATI Mobility Radeon X1600 on a 15.4″ widescreen. It also has a 160GB SATA drive, HD-DVD reader and burner as well as a 1.3mp camera.”
That’s some pretty heavy specifications. The message I take away is not that Microsoft has an ethical problem but that the hardware upgrades required to run Vista smoothly are going to delight PC manufacturers most of all… If you need a Ferrari to have a decent road experience then Redmond, we may indeed have a problem. 2gig2gig…

Unless you're a serious gamer, you probably don't have a system anything like that, and it is telling that they sent out such high end systems as part of the evaluation. Sure, they didn't want the OS to crawl for the people getting them, but that's pretty far up the scale to go in order to ensure that. The Thinkpad I'm using right now has 768MB of RAM and the HD is small (just 35 GB). Yes, I always want more disk, and I could certainly use more memory - but XP typically runs fine on this hardware. I can only imagine how Vista would operate on this system...

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A cynic's cynic

October 21, 2006 12:54:14.728

Nick Carr is truly a curmudgeon - in a post about Google, he wraps up with this:

Those Japanese commodes are nice, but it's important to remember that they're merely transitional devices. We'll know that Google has truly fulfilled its vision when the Googleplex no longer needs toilets at all.

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Is the air leaking from Web 2.0?

October 18, 2006 10:07:08.582

Steve Rubel notes that advertising dollars seem to be getting lower. I say "seem to be", because it's based on an analyst report (Blackfriars Communications), and I know nothing about them. Anyway, here's what Steve notes:

Actual dollars spent on advertising this year was sharply lower than the original estimates. This according to an analysis by Blackfriars Communications. Worse, the same story is true online.
Researchers had predicted that 10% of overall advertising spending this year would go online. Meanwhile, it ended up at 7% of budgets. Plus, the entire pie shrunk as well.

That could be air leaking out of the web 2.0 bubble. We'll probably know within a few months, one way or the other. One thing's for sure - a lot of startups are very, very dependent on ad revenue. Could Yahoo's difficulties there be an early warning sign?

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A great Question about SOA

October 4, 2006 13:49:57.856

RedMonk's Cote' has a great SOA summary here:

The questions I've started asking when I hear a story about how great SOA is -- how much better a customer's IT-scape is doing because it's now got "SOA Inside!" -- "compared to what?" That is, what were the alternatives? The snarky, between the lines question being, "what makes 'SOA' different than 'programming'"?

I especially like the way the final question cuts through the vendor fog in the SOA mudpit.

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