Smalltalk Tidbits, Industry Rants

Patrick Logan is unhappy with the IBM vs. Amazon ad suit, and quotes David Berlind, who thinks it could be a disaster:

IBM's patent infringement suit against Amazon is the equivalent of Big Blue saying "Excuse me everyone, we've got something very important to say." Very important indeed if you own or operate a Web site with advertisements on it.

Now, I don't like software patents, but I did hear something about this one yesterday. Apparently, IBM has two things going for it:

• The patent dates back to the 80's with Prodigy
• Just about every other entity IBM has approached has paid a license fee - Amazon told them to go stick it.

I'd be more willing to cheer Amazon's stance if they weren't holding the asinine "one click" patent.

Technorati Tags: amazon, patent, ibm

Doc Searls notes that NPR isn't happy with FM modulators:

Citing widespread interference on broadcast frequencies used by its member stations, National Public Radio has asked the Federal Communications Commission to order recalls of millions of FM modulators that drivers use to play satellite radios and iPods through their car stereos.

Doc makes a great case for why none of that matters - head on over there for his reasons. I have to agree with him - the only interference I've ever heard myself was a Disney bus (in Disneyworld) overwhelming my modulator on a frequency with no radio stations at all. Not exactly a catastrophe warranting a recall, IMHO.

Technorati Tags: radio, iPod

Glenn Reynolds explains what happens when the marketing folks and the legal team don't talk - you get Negative PR Events:

"What happens when a film studio and a fanbase get into bed? Fans of Joss Whedon's Firefly, and the movie by Universal Studios - Serenity - are not amused. After being encouraged to viral market Serenity, the studio has started legal action against fans (demanding $9000 in retroactive licensing fees in one case and demanding fan promotion stop), and going after Cafepress. The fans response? Retroactively invoice Universal for their services."

Universal seems to be trying to "protect their trademark" after the fact:

Naturally, people have the right to protect their trademarks -- but when you do viral marketing you also have to relax on that a bit. The Serenity PR people sent me lots of images and art, with the obvious expectation that I'd use them in publicity. When you do that sort of thing, it filters out. This was a bad time to lawyer up.

What do the bozos there think marketing had in mind when the images and artwork were sent out? This is so, so stupid - they are poisoning the well for any future viral effort - who's going to trust the PR flacks after this?

I'm sure that publicly looking like a set of morons is great for the studio...

Technorati Tags: law, marketing

Scoble notes that Apple's blogging policy - no work related stuff - hinders something that a lot of us are starting to expect: Googling to find a product contact person.

But what he doesn’t admit is that Google has changed everything. Now I totally expect to be able to find an employee at a company running a product group. Here’s a test.

Go to Google. Type “OneNote blog.” You’ll find Chris Pratley. He runs the team. I can tell him his product sucks in his comments.

Now, go back to Google. Type “Apple MacBook blog.” Do you find an Apple employee? No. You find a corporate page. Send an email there. Does it go to the right person? I have no idea. Certainly bloggers who’ve tried that recently due to Apple’s rebooting problems are getting unstatisfactory answers.

That's a very good point. If you Google any of these phrases:

• Smalltalk Blog
• Cincom Smalltalk Blog
• VisualWorks Blog
• ObjectStudio Blog

You get to me pretty quick. The last one takes you first to an OST datasheet, but my contact email is on that site too - and the second result is my blog. I think Apple (and any other company not on this bandwagon) is missing something here. PR is no longer the exclusive domain of the high priests in that department.

Now, I have to admit - even Cincom isn't that great on this. For Smalltalk related stuff, my site pops right up. However, try any of these:

• Cincom Blog
• Mantis Blog
• Encompass Blog
• Synchrony Blog

The first one pulls my blog, the last pulls something (non-Cincom) related, and the others get nothing related to Cincom at all. There's a lot to be done, it seems.

Technorati Tags: marketing

Via Steve Rubel, I found a fascinating post from Greg Verdino, who's attending a conference about consumer generated media:

The agenda is cram packed with sessions covering all aspects of Consumer Generated Media (CGM) including an overview of where we are today, why people do this stuff, where CGM is going in the future, and how exactly marketers can leverage and measure this powerful channel. Ironically, the confirmation email I received for the event includes this warning:

"Off The Record: the CGM Summit is off the record, so please no blogging, reporting, recording or broadcasting."

Hmmm... So how can you host an event about consumer generated media and not let your consumers, um, generate media?

I think they don't get the point :)

Technorati Tags: social media, blogging

David and I had to go ahead without Michael this week - our schedules meshed badly, and it was too late for Michael - the daylight savings time cutover didn't help there. I'll be getting to the editing of the audio later - I have a girl scout event to chaperone soon.

Well, this comes a day late - I forgot yesterday, and I was busy with my daughter's girl scout troop all day - and now I'm editing the audio for the weekly podcast. Anyway, BottomFeeder downloads went at a rate of 190/day - the details:

Platform	BottomFeeder Downloads
Windows	511
Update	313
Linux x86	104
Mac X	96
CE ARM	84
Mac 8/9	62
Windows98/ME	43
Solaris	34
HPUX	32
Linux Sparc	19
AIX	9
Sources	8
SGI	7
Linux PPC	6
CE x86	3
ADUX	3

HTML pages accesses continue to rise - and IE usage is staying up as well. Looks like IE 7 may be driving that:

Tool	Percentage of Accesses
Internet Explorer	47.8%
Mozilla	38%
Other	6.7%
Planet Smalltalk	4.8%
MSN Bot	1.6%
Opera	1.1%

Syndication subscriptions are rising as well - the details there:

Tool	Percentage of Accesses
Mozilla	19.6%
BottomFeeder	19.5%
Other	12.7%
Net News Wire	8.4%
BlogLines	7%
Safari RSS	6.5%
Internet Explorer	5.6%
Google Feed Fetcher	5.4%
NewsGator	3.6%
RSS Bandit	1.9%
Planet Smalltalk	1.8%
JetBrains	1%
News Fire	1%
SharpReader	1%
Liferea	1%
RSS 2 Email	1%
Feed Reader	1%
Python	1%
Opera	1%

This week, Michael wasn't able to join us - the time change and screwy weekend schedules combined to muck that up. David and I spoke about Smalltalk version control, and we addressed feedback from our listeners. Download the podcast here; if you have feedback, send an email to smalltalkpodcasts@cincom.com. MP3 files welcome.

During the show, the Public Repository came up, as did the index pages for it.

Scoble asks an interesting question: under what circumstances should you consider running ads on a blog?

What do you think? Should I sell ads here? If it was your blog, would you hesitate? Why?

I think it really depends on your goals. Here, I'm doing PR and evangelism for Cincom Smalltalk - so I don't think ads would help much. If this were a personal blog, rather than a corporately sponsored one, my answer would probably be different.

For corporate blogs, it's a policy decision, not a personal one. Scoble is sitting in a gray area there, so I'm not sure what he should do...

Technorati Tags: advertising, PR

Ed Foster highlights an all too common support problem: can you actually get the vendor on the phone?

"I went to Tascam's website to get a number for support. Okay, no toll-free number so I dropped an email to the support address - saves waiting on the phone. A week goes by and nothing. I call -- get someone and get shunted to the voicemail of the tech who handles this unit (he hasn't arrived at work yet) so I leave a voicemail. No response to this day. In the meantime I've called twice and both times gotten a message about 'We are either at lunch or all techs are busy. Please call back.' NO chance to leave a message, no way to tell them to call me. This is insane! No way for a customer to leave a message -- instead I'm supposed to spend my time playing phone roulette -- dialing Tascam and hoping someone will be there. Well, not here. I have a call into the rep for Tascam who handled our account. At this point my attitude is that on anything I have a say-so on, Tascam will not be on the vendor list. We pay good money for the equipment and don't expect to have to play phone tag. This is professional equipment and I expect the ability to at least leave a message."

I'd bet that management at that shop believes that they are saving money on phone support. What they've never asked themselves (because it's not easily quantifiable, and doesn't fit on a spreadsheet well) is whether the policy is driving off customers and creating bad PR.

Go have a look at Mike Arrington's latest on PayPerPost. Then, if you advertise through that service, ask yourself this: Does your product suck so bacdly that you can't honestly evangelize it?

Technorati Tags: advertising, marketing

Today's Smalltalk Daily adds to Friday's database beginning - we add a domain class, and learn how to have queries map to that, instead of just returning an Array of Arrays. We'll be working with this database example all week.

Technorati Tags: smalltalk, database

This is going to make the MPAA go absolutely bats: Handbrake, and application that lets you rip a DVD to your video iPod (or similar device). The key is, it's not defeating the DVD encryption schenme; it's simply piggybacking onto the stream created by your PC or Mac player.

Now you know why the MPAA wants utterly hostile crap like PVP-OPM on Windows - they want to lock down the player, and force you to buy a separate copy of content for each device you own. This is a fight they can't really win; at the end of the day, bits are bits. They need to adapt to the changing business environment, and fast - or they'll get dealt with the way newspapers are being dealt with.

Technorati Tags: MPAA, video

Ok, I'm not really trying to specifically pick on Java here - it's certainly possible to fail in trying to run a mismatched Smalltalk image and VM - I had something really, really odd happen yesterday. I hadn't installed any new Java components, but a Java app I use - The Levelator - wouldn't run. Thinking it was broken, I just hacked out the podcast audio with Audacity. Today, I was thinking of looking at Eclipse, and boom - same problem.

So I looked in the Windows control panel, and I had Java 5 update 6. Now, I have no idea whether I let the Java update tool grab that - I don't recall what I downloaded with the Levelator. Whatever - nothing worked with that. I grabbed update 9, and now everything is fine. Anyone know what happened here?

Technorati Tags: deployment, development

Via Nick Carr, I found Mark Cuban's post - he has an email from someone he calls a trusted source with some details on the YouTube deal. If this is true, it certainly lessens my sympathies toward the labels on copyright:

>The media companies had their typical challenges. Specifically, how to
>get money from Youtube without being required to give any to the
>talent (musicians and actors)? If monies were received as part of a
>license to Youtube then they would contractually obligated to share a
>substantial portion of the proceeds with others. For example most
>record label contracts call for artists to get 50% of all license
>deals. It was decided the media companies would receive an equity
>position as an investor in Youtube which Google would buy from them.
>This shelters all the up front monies from any royalty demands by
>allowing them to classify it as gains from an investment position. A
>few savvy agents might complain about receiving nothing and get a
>token amount, but most will be unaware of what transpired.

Again, it's unsubstantiated - but boy, if it's true, I'd call it too clever by half. The more powerful artists might well make a stink.

Technorati Tags: music

I see Sony is going to pay for their decision to go with all bleeding edge components in the PS3 - the limited launch supply just got more limited:

What's worse than 100,000 units at launch? How about 80,000? The Nikkei Keizai Shimbun morning edition reports today that due to component shortages, Sony will have only 80,000 units ready for the PS3's 11/11 Japanese launch. This cuts back by a fifth the initial launch target of 100,000. The lack of digits in that number is even more staggering when you consider that the PS2 sold out of nearly a million units when it launched back in March of 2000.

I think the vendors who sell game consoles are going to be very, very unhappy on launch day, as they'll get sold out in minutes - and spend the rest of the day saying "I don't know" when asked about new shipments.

I wonder how many XBox 360 and Wii units will sell based on the "at least it's in stock" theory?

Technorati Tags: PS3, console

Today's Smalltalk Daily moves our database code from a workspace to a class, so that we can move on to two example applications: A GUI that gets data from the database, and a web application that does the same.

Technorati Tags: smalltalk

Having the Zune launch without any Mac support seems like an error to me:

Bad news for Mac users -- the Microsoft Zune won't be Mac compatible at launch time. Thanks to the Zune not supporting mass storage mode, and the fact that Microsoft hasn't made a Mac version of the Zune Marketplace software, the Zune will be Windows-only for the time being. But seriously, how many Mac users were going to buy Zunes instead of iPods anyway?

Had they been the first big entry into this space (as Apple was), then this might have been acceptable. However, they aren't the first big entry. I don't know why MS, with all their resources, couldn't get a coordinated launch together.

Technorati Tags: music, Zune, Microsoft

Nick Carr has been tracking how Wikipedia is turning up in search results - and it looks like it's "climbing the charts":

But the findings get more interesting when you look beyond the averages to the particular results turned in by each of the three engines. It turns out that Google's algorithm absolutely adores Wikipedia and that Yahoo's passion for the online encyclopedia is nearly as ardent. But Microsoft's MSN algorithm seems strikingly less enchanted by Wikipedia's charms. Wikipedia turned up in Google's top ten a whopping 89% of the time and in Yahoo's 77%, but it appeared in MSN's top ten just 38% of the time. What's up with that?

Cuhalev also found that when Wikipedia does turn up in the top ten it tends to rank very highly indeed. It's in the top three results 76% of the time at Yahoo, 66% at Google, and 54% at MSN.

This doesn't surprise me, nor does it worry me. I find Wikipedia to be a decent information source of information. Not perfect by any stretch, but it's usually a good intro. Like anything else, you want to dig deeper on any subject you are truly interested in.

Technorati Tags: wikipedia, media

Jon Udell has Avi Bryant on the latest "Screening Room" - an interview/screencast showing off DabbleDB.

Technorati Tags: screencast, DabbleDB

I didn't realize this, but ripping a CD to an iPod is technically illegal in the UK. Funny thing about that: it seems that such stupid laws lower the level of respect for copyright in general (go figure):

Now, a think-tank is recommending that the laws be updated to allow personal copying -- which is perfectly reasonable. What's interesting, though, is that they note that allowing personal copying actually could benefit the recording industry's battle. They argue that in keeping private copying illegal (and, thus, making criminals out of a large percentage of the country), people are much less likely to respect any copyright law -- since they all get lumped into the ridiculous pile. One other interesting aspect of the report is that it takes on the debate concerning the right for libraries to archive content. In this case, it recommends that "the British Library should be given a DRM-free copy of any new digital work and that libraries should be able to take more than one copy of digital work." Given the earlier debate, somehow it seems unlikely the entertainment industry is going to agree to that one willingly.

Now, here's a quiz question for the not so bright crowd over at the RIAA and MPAA: what do you think DRM does for the general level of respect for copyright law?

Believe me, I won't hold my breath waiting for a response.

Technorati Tags: music, DRM

Today's Smalltalk Daily adds a GUI to our simple database example.

Technorati Tags: smalltalk

The Weekly Squeak interviewed Avi Bryant recently (scroll down to get to that bit) - and he said something interesting about continuations:

One thing I’d like to do is reduce the dependence of Seaside on continuations - they drove a lot of the initial interest in the framework but they’re becoming (or seeming) much less important over time, and the use cases to which they’re best suited are these days often addressed with AJAX instead. Right now they’re creating an artificial barrier which stops Seaside from being ported to some dialects (like Strongtalk, Smalltalk/X and VAST) which don’t support continuations but would still benefit from a continuation-less Seaside.

That's interesting - I'd be interested to know how he intends to replace continuations and keep Seaside as Seaside.

Technorati Tags: seaside, continuations

The Toronto Smalltalk users group is meeting this Thursday, November 2nd. Check the website for directions.

Technorati Tags: STUG, smalltalk

Engadget managed to get a sneak peek at a real Wii unit, via a Mexican gaming magazine.

Technorati Tags: gaming, consoles, Wii

I had a non-commercial downloader point out to me that the link to the NC license on the download registration page was broken. I fixed that, and it's all good now. To see the license, just go here.

Technorati Tags: cincom, smalltalk

Via Tim Bray, I see that the all too common air of superiority in the Smalltalk community is hardly limited to the Smalltalk community. At a PHP conference Tim attended, this came up in Q&A:

In the plenary Q&A, one question was “ActiveRecord for PHP?” and another was “What do you think of Rails?” The answer to the first was more or less, “We’re not convinced that’s an appropriate direction” and to the second was frankly snotty: “Ruby is appropriate for computer-science-loving people who have a puristic [sic] attitude”.

I'm starting to think that the only difference between the "Smalltalk arrogance" people sense and the arrogance of other communities is the number of people involved.

Technorati Tags: arrogance, php

Today's Smalltalk Daily starts in with the Web Toolkit - we get something ugly up on a web page.

Technorati Tags: smalltalk, web

You may have noticed that the Cincom Smalltalk Wiki has been up and down the last few days. I finally sat down and looked at the issues, and it was all about the memory policy. WikiWorks loads all wiki pages into memory by default, and that was causing a few problems with the policy that the server was using. I inserted the CraftedMemoryPolicy (Thanks Terry!) with some reasonable defaults, and the memory issues went away on my test server. That's all in place on the server now, so things should go better.

Jon Udell notes an all too common problem in screen sharing software: an attempt to solve too many problems:

There's one thing I wish screensharing systems would do well: screensharing. I watch a lot of demos projected to my computer. It's always a struggle, both for the presenter and for me. Windows or Mac? IE or Firefox? Who has the latest version of the client? Who's the host? Which application is shared? Can you see my screen?

While we answer these questions, the first five or ten minutes of every meeting swirl down the drain. I've used every screensharing system and, from this perspective, they're roughly the same. None performs its basic function simply and well. All are determined to add whiteboards, chat, and filing systems. In principle these are useful features. In practice, for most people most of the time, they're just not usable.

This is a classic product management/marketing issue. You always want features that differentiate you from the competition - but at the same time, too much of that gives you MS Word - an application for which most people barely touch 10% of the available power. It's a problem across the industry, and not just in this product area.

Technorati Tags: development, marketing, product marketing

A friend of mine who worked in a Smalltalk and Java shop shared these quotes from the Java trenches:

• “Java development expends a great deal of effort managing the integration of software components. Where as Smalltalk development can focus their energies better on addressing the business problems.”
• “Typically, a Smalltalk developer will spend most of their time thinking about the problem than coding when compared to Java developer. Not surprisingly, the over-all development effort is faster in Smalltalk, and the code is smaller and more efficient and maintainable.”
• “When development projects get under pressure, naturally developers take short cuts. When thought both Java and Smalltalk have refactoring browsers, it is much harder to refactor Java projects than Smalltalk projects. As a result, over time, my experience has been that a Java software project becomes hard to support, maintain, and enhance than a Smalltalk project.”
• “For new developers, it is much easier to learn proper OO development techniques using Smalltalk than Java. Proper techniques are a investment that will save you money by giving the project large returns in development time, effectiveness and efficiency. “
• “My current experience with source code management software is that the Smalltalk tools are much better at identifying the changes so that the core software “

There was also this humorous statement that I rather liked:

Java is kind of like kindergarten. There are lots of rules you have to remember. If you don't follow them, the compiler makes you sit in the corner until you do. There are 59+ reserved words. Everything is not an object. There are primitives, and your classes are not first class objects. And you have to remember that there is no "this" in a static method (in Smalltalk calling self in a class method would return the class itself). You have to remember to tell the compiler things several times so it knows what you're talking about (Date date = new Date()).

Heh.

Technorati Tags: smalltalk, software development

Via CNet, I see reports that hell is freezing over: Microsoft is going to work with Novell in support of SuSe Linux:

Microsoft is entering into a technical and business collaboration with rival Novell, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer announced Thursday. The two software makers have made a set of agreements to bridge the gap between proprietary and open-source software, he said.

...

Microsoft will offer coupons for maintenance and support of Novell's Suse Linux Enterprise Server and Desktop (SLES and SLED) products.

That's interesting - Scoble is speculating that it has to do with patents that could cause MS some trouble down the road. Hmm. I think I'll reserve further comment until I see more details.

Technorati Tags: microsoft, novell, linux, windows

Patrick Logan likes the Wii:

All I can say is, well, the kids took to the Wiimote controller like they'd been playing for years. I took a little more effort because I don't really play many games even with today's controllers. But the Wiimote controller really is going to make me want to play more games.

The Wii is definitely going to be the system to have this holiday season.

That's good news for Nintendo - they are going after the casual gamer with this system, and it sounds like it hits the target.

Technorati Tags: Wii, games, console

I like Scoble's "engagement" idea, but I see no good way to measure it:

I’m trying to come up with new ways to measure audience that goes way beyond whether someone downloaded my content to their machine. I have tens of gigabytes loaded here that I haven’t watched or listened to, and I bet I’m not the only one.

I’d rather go with engagement than just downloads. I believe advertisers will eventually get wiser and pay for audiences that’ll do things, not just download files with an automated client.

There are onerous methods, of course - the "phone home" kind of monitoring. No one wants that, so what else is there? All I can think of are indirect measures - emails sent as feedback, comments left on the posts, that sort of thing. Not exactly enough meat for advertisers to sink their teeth into. It's a good question, and I wish I had an answer.

Technorati Tags: statistics

Via Jeff Jarvis, I ran across this from Tim Berners-Lee:

Sir Tim believes devotees of blogging sites take too much information on trust: “The blogging world works by people reading blogs and linking to them. You’re taking suggestions of what you read from people you trust. That, if you like, is a very simple system, but in fact the technology must help us express much more complicated feelings about who we’ll trust with what.” The next generation of the internet needs to be able to reassure users that they can establish the original source of the information they digest.

How is that different than traditional media? I read a story in the NY Times, where the major source is some wire service. Other than age, what tells me I should trust that wire service? Especially given all the recent stories about photoshopping and staged photos?

With the net, there's some possibility of fact checking. With the old model, there was the "letter to the editor" that found the circular file. With all due respect to Berners-Lee, I'll take the new model, thanks.

Technorati Tags: msm, media

Nick Carr raises a lot of good contrarian thoughts on the Google/YouTube deal. Agree or disagree, it's well worth reading.

Technorati Tags: YouTube, Google, copyright

David Buck has a screencast up which introduces Vista Smalltalk.

Technorati Tags: screencast, Vista Smalltalk

We were doing some server maintenance - we have a second server now, and it was time to shuffle files around. That caused an outage for about a 1/2 hour, but it's all back now.

Michael, David, and I recorded episode 8 last night - we continued our conversation about image based development, and then went into Vista Smalltalk - the Ottawa STUG got a presentation on it last week, and David recorded a screencast. From there, we discussed debugging techniques, and how Smalltalk makes that very different (and more powerful).

James Savidge's jobs report is at the end, so stick around for that. You can grab the mp3 file here.

Technorati Tags: smalltalk, vista smalltalk, debugging, software development

Time for the weekly look at the logs. BottomFeeder downloads proceeded at a rate of 197 per day, which looks good. The details:

Platform	BottomFeeder Downloads
Windows	470
Update	330
Linux x86	142
Mac X	89
CE ARM	78
Mac 8/9	59
Windows98/ME	53
Solaris	41
AIX	25
Linux Sparc	24
Sources	20
HPUX	18
SGI	14
Linux PPC	14
ADUX	6
CE x86	1

Next, HTML page accesses:

Tool	Percentage of Accesses
Internet Explorer	46.8%
Mozilla	40%
Planet Smalltalk	5.1%
Other	2.2%
MSN Bot	2.8%
Zibb Crawler	1.8%
Opera	1.3%

Well, it certainly looks like IE 7 is having an impact on browser usage amongst my readers. Let's take a look at the syndication stats:

Tool	Percentage of Accesses
BottomFeeder	21.3%
Mozilla	20.4%
Other	10.8%
Net News Wire	7.6%
Safari RSS	6.9%
Google Feed Fetcher	6%
Internet Explorer	4.6%
BlogLines	3.6%
NewsGator	2.9%
RSS Bandit	2.4%
Planet Smalltalk	1.9%
Liferea	1.2%
JetBrains	1.2%
News Fire	1.1%
SharpReader	1.1%
Nutch	1%
RSS 2 Email	1%
Python	1%
Opera	1%
Jakarta	1%
MSN Bot	1%
BlogSearch	1%

That looks fairly normal, and on the syndication side, IE usage isn't rising that much

James McGovern illustrates why many large companies spend most of their time standing still. In response to the idea that analysts like to pass information by phone, he says:

Hmmm. So I guess you are saying that we must resort to establishing dialogs via phone calls? Have you ever considered why enterprises prefer documents? Maybe it is because we do a lot of work at home on our laptops after hours. Maybe by having printed material we can multi-task. If you have ever been in corporate America for any extended period of time, you would understand that there are lots of low density information oriented meetings which serve as an opportunity to do multiple things. Many people pretend to take notes when in all reality they are reading documents.

Well. I wonder if it ever occurs to him that those "low denisty information oriented meetings" are an utter waste of everyone's time? or that - realizing this - analysts like to get people on the phone so that they can get some level of assurance that attention is being paid? If you spend time multitasking in meetings, then the correct answer is that you don't need to be in those meetings. Full stop, period.

Engadget speculates that Sony won't even hit the reduced PS3 ship numbers they've promised:

If you haven't managed to procure a good, solid pre-order yet from a credible retailer, you just might want to take a good hard look at those unboxing pics we shared last night, 'cause it could very well be as close as you're getting to a PlayStation 3 in 2006. See, despite Sony's repeated reductions to the launch quantity predictions, EA thinks they're still "exaggerating" a bit, and we might actually end up with around 500,000 to 800,000 units by year's end in North America -- as opposed to the 1-1.2 million currently being predicted by Sony.

The Wii and XBox 360 are looking like better bets all the time.

Technorati Tags: console, PS3, sony